Andrew Dutton’s National Hunt Service
Andrew Dutton is the longest serving member of the Bettrends team, and is back for yet another Jumps season with his self-titled National Hunt Service.
One feature of the service is Andrew portfolio of 60 Horses To Follow, which have operated at a 39%, 32% & 28% strike-rate over the past three season. To give you a taster of what is included in Andrew’s portfolio, below he has carefully selected a Five To Follow for you…
Trainer – Gary Moore
Form – 1424
Age – 5
Going won on – soft, (yielding to soft)
Distances won over – 2M3F, (3M)
P-T-P Form – 1
Rules Form summary – 4 runs, 1 win
A serious chasing type and the winner of his sole start in Irish points, Benatar is one to look out for over fences. He was fancied to win his debut under rules and despite pulling hard for most of the race, he won easily and appeared well suited to the testing conditions. He ran a fair enough race next time in the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon, but the ground was too quick for him and it was probably a test too far at that stage of his career. He finished the season with a much improved effort though, finishing a good fourth at big odds behind Finian’s Oscar at Aintree. If connections decide to go chasing now, I can see him stepping up another level, as not only was he immature last season, he stands out as a chasing type and I expect him to do well at the game, especially on testing ground. I get the feeling the softer the better for him and although he should stay three miles later in the season, I feel a trip just shy of that may suit best and he should be capable of landing a few races this season.
Optimum conditions = Two and a half miles chase and heavy ground
OVERLAND FLYER (IRE)
Trainer – Paul Nicholls
Form – 14
Age – 6
Going won on – good, (good to soft), (soft)
Distances won over – 3M
P-T-P Form – 211
Rules Form summary – 2 runs, 1 win
Although he has only raced under rules twice, Overland Flyer has caught my eye. He looked good when making all to win very easily at Taunton, but ran below form on his next start. There was no official reason for that poor run, but I am prepared to forgive him one bad run based on the impression he left on his debut. The fact he has won twice in points, both at Larkhill, one of the top tracks, shows jumping should not be a problem and now he is set to go over fences, we could see a decent horse in the making.
Trainer – Willie Mullins
Age – 7
Going won on – yielding, yielding to soft
Distances won over – 2M, 2M4F
P-T-P Form – unraced
Rules Form summary – 9 runs, 2 wins
Although he finished the season in poor form, Turcagua showed enough in his first three starts to make it on to the list. After a pleasing debut behind Monalee, he stayed on well to easily beat Champagne Classic at Punchestown and the runner-up franked the form by winning at the Cheltenham Festival. After that, he finished second to Death Duty in the Grade One Lawlors Hurdle at Naas, before losing his way. He is very much a chaser though as he jumps hurdles in the style of a chaser and has the build for the game. He may not be one of the stars of the season, but he can pay his way at a lower level in races between two and a half and three miles.
Trainer – Ms Margaret Mullins
Form – 2112
Age – 4
Going won on – good, soft
Distances won over – 2M
P-T-P Form – unraced
Rules Form summary – 4 runs, 2 wins
A cracking prospect for novice hurdles this season is Debuchet. After finishing second on his debut behind the promising Red Jack, he went on to win well at Leopardstown. His next start was the big one; the Weatherbys Champion Bumper and he ran a solid race to finish second and then finished the season by landing a listed contest easily at Limerick. It is early in his career, but he has a lot of potential and having already run well at the festival, he could be a live contender for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.
CHAMPERS ON ICE (IRE)
Trainer – David Pipe
Form – 126P
Age – 7
Going won on – yielding, soft, heavy
Distances won over – 2m2F, 2M4F, 3M
P-T-P Form – U1
Rules Form summary – 10 runs, 4 wins
Having shown good form in novice hurdles and being a point-to-point winner, I expected him to do well in his first season over fences, but things did not go to plan. He made a successful fencing debut, but failed to progress. In fairness, his second run in hindsight was a solid performance as he finished second to American (beaten 4 ½ lengths off level weights), who finished the season rated 157, so a mark of 143 is fair. I feel on testing ground over a trip of at least three miles, he can land a decent handicap chase this season and he is definitely better than what he showed last season.
Optimum conditions = three mile chase on soft or heavy ground